Monday, October 24, 2005
Pop Science Strikes Again
I really hate this stuff
Reality check folks. Just because you want something, doesn't mean you can have it.
Many seismologists have lost faith that earthquakes would ever become predictable beyond statistical probabilities, which leave uncertainties of years, even decades. Some seismologists have proclaimed categorically that, due to their chaotic nature, earthquakes are fundamentally unpredictable.That's not science, that's advocacy. Mostly its about money. Seismologists have to do the best that they can with the resources available. If I have X dollars a year, do I spend them doing something that improves defintively the state of earthquake prediction, or do I spend them doing something that has as good or better a chance of leading nowhere than it does of working?
However, given so many well-supported historical and modern indicators that the Earth does indeed send out premonitory signals, the naysayers should not deter us.
Reality check folks. Just because you want something, doesn't mean you can have it.
